This expert-level threat assessment provides a deep-dive analysis of the high-impact Arabic document, “The Decline of Western Civilization” (أفول حضارة الغرب). Published in March 2024, this document serves as a “gateway” text, systematically using Western academic scholarship to build a narrative of inevitable Western collapse and the rise of a global Islamic caliphate. This report deconstructs the sophisticated propaganda techniques used to radicalize educated, Arabic-speaking populations.

What the Buyer Will Receive

• Comprehensive 33-Page Intelligence Brief: A detailed PDF analysis containing over 34,000 characters of expert assessment.

• Propaganda Deconstruction: Identification of 7 specific propaganda techniques, including “Western Source Authority Exploitation” and “Selective Historical Contextualization”.

• Identification of Key Threat Indicators: Detailed mapping of ideological markers, including apocalyptic framing, victimization narratives, and binary civilizational opposition.

• Target Demographic Profiling: Analysis of the five primary recruitment targets, ranging from university-educated individuals to diaspora communities in the West.

• Strategic Distribution Mapping: Intelligence on probable circulation channels, including encrypted messaging platforms (Telegram/WhatsApp), private study circles, and university campuses.

• Behavioral Monitoring Framework: A list of 6 specific behavioral indicators for professionals to track radicalization progression in individuals exposed to this content.

• Full Contextual Verification: Fact-checking of economic and demographic claims used in the document to mislead readers.

  Critical Assets for Your Team

  • Ideological Classification: Direct alignment analysis with groups like Hizb ut-Tahrir and Salafi-jihadist movements.

  • Risk Escalation Matrix: 6 “Early Warning Indicators” to help intelligence services determine when circulation poses an immediate physical threat.

  • Arabic to Global Reach: Detailed geographic reach assessment and the potential impact of translation into Urdu, Turkish, and English